Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 7.45pm
Stadionul CPTF

Moldova vs Slovakia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Slovakia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Moldova win it is 1-0 (7.51%).

Result

Moldova 20.52% ▼ (-3.11)
Draw 25.1% ▼ (-1.42)
Slovakia 54.38% ▲ (+4.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.3% ▼ (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.52% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 1.5 30.48% ▼ (-1.59)
Over 2.5 43.47% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 2.5 56.53% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 22.9% ▲ (+1.49)
Under 3.5 77.1% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 4.5 12.96% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 4.5 87.04% ▼ (-1.45)

First Half Winner

Moldova 18.4% ▼ (-2.84)
Draw 42.75% ▲ (+0.12)
Slovakia 38.85% ▲ (+2.72)

Team To Score First

Moldova 35.12% ▼ (-2.43)
No Goal 9.08% ▼ (-0.77)
Slovakia 55.8% ▲ (+3.20)

Corners

Over 8 54.87% ▲ (+1.41)
Equal 8 10.89% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 8 34.24% ▼ (-0.87)
Over 9 44.01% ▲ (+1.80)
Equal 9 10.86% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 9 45.13% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 10.5 34% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 10.5 66% ▼ (-1.99)

Moldova Goals

Over 1.5 19.32% ▼ (-2.25)
Under 1.5 80.68% ▲ (+2.25)
Over 2.5 5.37% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 2.5 94.63% ▲ (+1.44)
Over 3.5 1.34% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 98.66% ▲ (+0.43)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5 77.98% ▲ (+2.67)
Under 0.5 22.02% ▼ (-2.66)
Over 1.5 45.95% ▲ (+4.10)
Under 1.5 54.05% ▼ (-4.10)
Over 2.5 21.03% ▲ (+2.91)
Under 2.5 78.97% ▼ (-2.91)
Over 3.5 7.83% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 3.5 92.17% ▼ (-1.46)

Score analysis

Moldova 20.53%
Draw 25.1%
Slovakia 54.38%
Moldova
1-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.88)
2-1 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.93)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 20.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.77)
2-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 25.1%
Slovakia
0-1 @ 13.9% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 10.94% ▲ (+1.27)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.70)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.50)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 7.82% ▲ (+1.61)
Total : 54.38%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Štadión Tatran
  • Ondrej Duda 28' yellowcard
  • Ivan Schranz 32' goal
  • Ondrej Duda 40' goal
  • Tomas Suslov 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 20'