Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 15, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Matmut-Atlantique

France vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Turkey 0 - 1 France

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Turkey 0 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 60.37%. A win for Turkey has a probability of 19.99% and a draw has a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Turkey win is 1-2 (5.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.62%).

Result

France 60.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 19.64%
Turkey 19.99% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 14.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 66.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 33.54%
Over 3.5 43.96%
Under 3.5 56.04%
Over 4.5 29.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 70.49% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

France 39.76%
Draw 38.22%
Turkey 22.03%

Team To Score First

France 61.63% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Turkey 34.85%

Corners

Over 8 50.13%
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 39.38%
Over 9 39.98%
Equal 9 10.15%
Under 9 49.87%
Over 10.5 30.87%
Under 10.5 69.13%

France Goals

Over 1.5 62.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 37.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 62.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5 57.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.57%
Under 3.5 96.43%

Score analysis

France 60.37%
Draw 19.65%
Turkey 20%
France
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8%
3-0 @ 6.23%
3-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 17.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 60.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 5.69%
0-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.65%
Turkey
1-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.89%
0-2 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 20%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kocaeli Stadyumu
  • Arda Güler 42' yellowcard
  • Salih Özcan 68' yellowcard
  • Uğurcan Çakır 87' redcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappé  54'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 72'
  • yellowcard Manu Koné 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Estéban Lepaul 90'+3'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 14, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Hernandez 49' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 76' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kaan Ayhan 82'
  • yellowcard Cenk Tosun 85'
  • yellowcard Irfan Kahveci 87'
  • yellowcard Kenan Karaman 87'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 8, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kaan Ayhan 30' goal
  • Mahmut Tekdemir 39' yellowcard
  • Cengiz Under 40' goal
  • Merih Demiral 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Umtiti 45'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 86'
Under-20s World Cup
Jul 2, 2013 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 0' goal
  • Jean-Christophe Bahebeck 0' goal
  • Yaya Sanogo 0' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 0' goal
  • goal Sinan Bakis 0'