Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 5.00pm
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)

Turkey vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Turkey 0 - 1 France

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Italy 0 - 2 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Turkey has a probability of 37.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Turkey win is 2-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result

Turkey 37.23% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 22.89%
Belgium 39.89% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.5% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.18% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 17.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 62.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 37.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 40.01% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 59.99% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 24.95% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 75.05% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Turkey 26.85%
Draw 36.64%
Belgium 36.51%

Team To Score First

Turkey 40.29% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Belgium 55.24% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.55%
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 24.21%
Over 9 54.48%
Equal 9 11.07%
Under 9 34.45%
Over 10.5 43.48%
Under 10.5 56.52%

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 42.7% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 57.3% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 20.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 25.8% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 45.12% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 54.88% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 21.72% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 78.28% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 9.22% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 90.78% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Turkey 37.23%
Draw 22.88%
Belgium 39.89%
Turkey
2-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 37.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.88%
Belgium
1-2 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 39.89%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Maurice Dufrasne
  • Kevin De Bruyne 10' goal
  • Dodi Lukébakio 26' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 30' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 59' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 76' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 80' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ngoy 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdülkerim Bardakcı  56'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 71'
  • yellowcard Arda Güler 90'+2'