Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 17, 2026 7.45pm
Parken

Denmark vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Denmark win with a probability of 51.02%. A win for Norway has a probability of 26.9% and a draw has a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Norway win is 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.57%).

Result

Denmark 51.02% ▲ (+1.53)
Draw 22.05% ▼ (-0.31)
Norway 26.9% ▼ (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.52% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 16.48% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 63.84% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 36.16% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 40.85% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 59.15% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 4.5 25.98% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 74.02% ▼ (-0.42)

First Half Winner

Denmark 37.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 38.77% ▲ (+0.22)
Norway 23.42% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Denmark 55.07% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 4% ▼ (-0.09)
Norway 40.93% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 61.05% ▲ (+0.42)
Equal 8 9.99% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 8 28.96% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 50.6% ▲ (+0.61)
Equal 9 10.46% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 38.95% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 10.5 40.46% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 10.5 59.54% ▼ (-0.72)

Denmark Goals

Over 1.5 54.87% ▲ (+1.36)
Under 1.5 45.13% ▼ (-1.36)
Over 2.5 29.46% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 2.5 70.54% ▼ (-1.21)
Over 3.5 13.17% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 86.83% ▼ (-0.75)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 64% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 0.5 36% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 1.5 34.06% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 1.5 65.94% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 2.5 13.82% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 2.5 86.18% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 3.5 4.77% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 95.23% ▲ (+0.35)

Score analysis

Denmark 51.01%
Draw 22.05%
Norway 26.89%
Denmark
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 12.86% ▲ (+0.78)
Total : 51.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 22.05%
Norway
1-2 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.15)
0-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.20)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.31)
Total : 26.89%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Oscar Bobb 14' goal
  • Erling Haaland 18' goal
  • David Møller Wolfe 68' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 74' goal
  • David Møller Wolfe 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 25'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nissen Kristensen  38'
  • goal Rasmus Højlund 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Dorgu 70'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 90'+1'
International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2024 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parken
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 12' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 21' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 50' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 19'
  • goal Erling Haaland 72'
International Friendlies
May 31, 2020 11.00pm