Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 14, 2026 7.45pm
Estádio Municipal de Braga

Portugal vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw has a probability of 19.84% and a win for Denmark has a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.99%) , while for a Denmark win it is 0-1 (4.55%).

Result

Portugal 63.06%
Draw 19.84%
Denmark 17.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 57.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 76.69% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Portugal 45.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 35.44%
Denmark 19.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Portugal 63.22% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Denmark 31.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.26%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 33.57%
Over 9 44.1%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 44.74%
Over 10.5 33.82%
Under 10.5 66.18%

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 59.09%
Under 1.5 40.91%
Over 2.5 32.55%
Under 2.5 67.45%
Over 3.5 15.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 84.98% ▼ (-0.02)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 50.94%
Under 0.5 49.06%
Over 1.5 21.71%
Under 1.5 78.29%
Over 2.5 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.14%
Under 3.5 97.86%

Score analysis

Portugal 63.05%
Draw 19.83%
Denmark 17.11%
Portugal
1-0 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 63.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99%
0-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 19.83%
Denmark
0-1 @ 4.55%
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.11%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Parken
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 23' goal
  • Rasmus Højlund 53' goal
  • Mohamed Daramy 79' yellowcard
  • goal João Cancelo 13'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 25'
  • goal Vitinha 67'
  • yellowcard Jorge Jesus 68'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 82'
  • goal João Félix 87'
Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Joachim Andersen 38' goal
  • Ruben Dias 50' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 72' goal
  • Diogo Jota 75' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 86' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 91' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 115' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 50'
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 66'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 76'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 105'+3'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 120'+1'
Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Rasmus Hojlund 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 57'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 59'
European Championship
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Moutinho 66' goal
  • Rui Patricio 82' yellowcard
  • Danilo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Hojbjerg 25'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Wass 68'
European Championship
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 92'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 95'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2012 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT