National League
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Georgie Kelly 42' goal
  • Georgie Kelly 88' goal
  • goal Dom Hutchinson 67'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hutchinson 75'
  • yellowcard Dom Hutchinson 75'
  • goal Razzaq Coleman De-Graft 82'
  • goal Ricky Aguiar 86'

Carlisle United vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30pm
Carlisle 1 - 2 Boreham Wood

Worthing

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 39% (-0.08)
Draw 23.91% (-0.02)
Worthing 37.1% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.75% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.56% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.44% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.84%
Under 3.5 64.16%
Over 4.5 21.82%
Under 4.5 78.18%

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 33.04% (-0.04)
Draw 39.1%
Worthing 27.85% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 49.55% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.81% (-0.02)
Worthing 44.64% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.82% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 28.98% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.23% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 40.18% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 37.22% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.78% (-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 41.92% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.08% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.06% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.94% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.13% (+0.01)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.7% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.8% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.2% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.03% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 38.99%
Draw 23.9%
Worthing 37.11%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.78% (-0.01)
Total : 38.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.9%
Worthing
1-2 @ 8.1% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.91% (+0.03)
Total : 37.11%