National League Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30pm
Carlisle 1 - 2 Boreham Wood

Worthing

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39%. A win for Worthing has a probability of 37.1% and a draw has a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Worthing win is 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result

Carlisle United 39% (-0.08)
Draw 23.91% (-0.02)
Worthing 37.1% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.75% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.56% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.44% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.84%
Under 3.5 64.16%
Over 4.5 21.82%
Under 4.5 78.18%

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 33.04% (-0.04)
Draw 39.1%
Worthing 27.85% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 49.55% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.81% (-0.02)
Worthing 44.64% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.82% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 28.98% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.23% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 40.18% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 37.22% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.78% (-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 41.92% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.08% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.06% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.94% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.13% (+0.01)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.7% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.8% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.2% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.03% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 38.99%
Draw 23.9%
Worthing 37.11%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.78% (-0.01)
Total : 38.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.9%
Worthing
1-2 @ 8.1% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.91% (+0.03)
Total : 37.11%