Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 1.00pm
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Fleetwood 2 - 1 Huddersfield

Carlisle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Darlington 2 - 4 Carlisle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 34.94% and a draw has a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result

Fleetwood Town 38.48% (+0.05)
Draw 26.58% (+0.06)
Carlisle United 34.94% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.68% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.32% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 52.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.62% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.63% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.37% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.5% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.5% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fleetwood Town 30.99% (+0.13)
Draw 41.92% (-0.05)
Carlisle United 27.09% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Fleetwood Town 46.56% (+0.07)
No Goal 7.2% (+0.03)
Carlisle United 46.24% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 66.67% (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.39% (-0.03)
Under 8 22.94% (-0.12)
Over 9 55.29% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.38% (-0.02)
Under 9 33.33% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 43.88% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 56.12% (-0.18)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 1.5 39.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.77% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.23% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.66% (-0.04)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.02% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.98% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.81% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 63.19% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 15.06% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.94% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.63% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.37% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fleetwood Town 38.49%
Draw 26.58%
Carlisle United 34.95%
Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.95% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.12% (+0.04)
Total : 38.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.2% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.58%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.43% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.41% (-0.04)
Total : 34.95%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Brendan Wiredu 18' yellowcard
  • Finley Potter 44' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bennett 56' yellowcard
  • Ronan Coughlin 70' goal
  • Shaun Rooney 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Cedwyn Scott 19'
  • yellowcard William Patching 23'
  • yellowcard Elliot Embleton 70'
  • goal Sam Lavelle 85'
  • yellowcard Joe Hugill 88'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Breeze 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Brunton Park
  • Aaron Hayden 20' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wyke 42' goal
  • Charlie Wyke 52' goal
  • Harrison Biggins 78' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 79' yellowcard
  • Jordan Jones 83' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Mayor 10'
  • goal Danny Mayor 10'
  • goal Ronan Coughlin 19'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 21'
  • yellowcard Matty Virtue 58'
  • goal Danny Mayor 67'
  • yellowcard Ronan Coughlin 77'
  • yellowcard Carl Johnston 87'
League One Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Jayden Stockley 35' goal
  • Brendan Wiredu 65' yellowcard
  • goal Owen Moxon 27'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Paul Huntington 4' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 36' goal
  • Jon Mellish 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 5'
  • goal Brendan Wiredu 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 73'
  • yellowcard Josh Earl 85'
  • yellowcard Shaun Rooney 90'+6'
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Duncan Idehen 90' goal
  • goal Joe Garner 46'
EFL Trophy
Sep 1, 2020 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Gime Toure 36' goal
  • Gime Toure 90' redcard
  • Joe Riley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Camps 44'
  • goal Harvey Saunders 57'
  • goal Harvey Saunders 68'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 90'+2'