Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 79.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.25% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 7.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%) , while for a Brackley Town win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.