National League Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • L. Armstrong 6' goal
  • Jack Ellis 31' goal
  • Junior Luamba 62' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wyke 63' yellowcard
  • Hayden Atkinson 63' yellowcard
  • C. Conn-Clarke 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 86' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Zak Brown 74'
  • yellowcard R. Haynes 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Kyle Morrison 81'
  • yellowcard Michael Nottingham 81'

Carlisle United vs Brackley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Truro City 0 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Brackley Town 2 - 1 Aldershot
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ben Wodskou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 79.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.25% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 7.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%) , while for a Brackley Town win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 79.24% (-0.02)
Draw 13.25% (+0.01)
Brackley Town 7.51% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.25% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.56% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 12.44% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 72.07% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 27.93% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 50.77% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 49.23% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 39.44% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 60.56% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 56.76% (-0.09)
Draw 31.35% (+0.09)
Brackley Town 11.89%

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 75.28% (+0.08)
No Goal 3.12% (-0.07)
Brackley Town 21.6%

Corners

Over 8 69.69% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.85% (+0.04)
Under 8 20.46% (-0.06)
Over 9 58.63% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.06)
Under 9 30.31% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 47.27% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 52.73% (+0.08)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 77.22% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 22.78% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 55.61% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 44.39% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 33.64% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.36% (-0.04)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 36.7% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 63.3% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 13.53% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 86.47% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 3.59% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 96.41% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.95% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.05% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 79.24%
Draw 13.24%
Brackley Town 7.5%
Carlisle United
3-0 @ 10.28% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 7.39%
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 33.38% (-0.01)
Total : 79.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.53% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.35% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.05)
Total : 13.24%
Brackley Town
1-2 @ 2.38% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 1.88% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.69% (-0.02)
Total : 7.5%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 3, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT