Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 59.32%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 20.76% and a draw had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (5.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.