Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 38%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.