National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2026 7.45pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Truro City

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 0 - 0 Folkestone Invicta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 31.24% and a draw has a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win is 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.58%).

Result

Chelmsford City 42.92% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 25.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Ebbsfleet 31.24% ▲ (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.74% ▲ (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 1.5 24.33% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 2.5 52.51% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 2.5 47.49% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 3.5 30.49% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 3.5 69.51% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 4.5 17.3% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 4.5 82.7% ▼ (-0.50)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 34.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 39.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Ebbsfleet 25.59% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 52.18% ▲ (+1.26)
No Goal 7.13% ▼ (-0.17)
Ebbsfleet 40.69% ▼ (-1.10)

Corners

Over 8 59.8% ▼ (-6.21)
Equal 8 10.92% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 29.28% ▲ (+6.09)
Over 9 48.51% ▼ (-5.68)
Equal 9 11.29% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 9 40.2% ▲ (+6.21)
Over 10.5 37.76% ▼ (-4.67)
Under 10.5 62.24% ▲ (+4.67)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 43.08% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 56.92% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 2.5 18.84% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 81.16% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 6.94% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 93.06% ▼ (-0.24)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 66.17% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 33.83% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 33.35% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 1.5 66.65% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 2.5 13.05% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 86.95% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 4.09% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 95.91% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 42.91%
Draw 25.85%
Ebbsfleet 31.23%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.39)
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 42.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 25.85%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31.23%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dominic Samuel 37'
National League South
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • goal Greg Cundle 52'
National League South Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Rakish Bingham 27' goal
  • Luke O'Neill 89' goal
National League South Gameweek 42
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sido Jombarti 50' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 55' goal
  • goal Charlie Sheringham 72'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT