National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2026 7.45pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 1 Chelmsford City

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Slough 0 - 0 Ebbsfleet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 30.1% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win is 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Chelmsford City 44.55% (-0.09)
Draw 25.35%
Ebbsfleet 30.1% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.6% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 51.85%
Under 2.5 48.15%
Over 3.5 29.79% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 70.21% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.71% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.29% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 34.47% (+0.02)
Draw 40.02% (+0.02)
Ebbsfleet 25.51% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 51.61% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.96% (-0.01)
Ebbsfleet 41.43% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.04% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.87% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.33% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 37.96% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 39.04% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 60.96% (+0.01)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 43.59% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 56.41% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 19.14% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.86% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.76% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.24% (+0.04)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 65.53%
Under 0.5 34.47%
Over 1.5 32.08% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.92% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.92% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.76%
Under 3.5 96.24%

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 44.54%
Draw 25.34%
Ebbsfleet 30.11%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.66% (-0.04)
Total : 44.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.34%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.14% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 30.11%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dominic Samuel 37'
National League South
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • goal Greg Cundle 52'
National League South Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Rakish Bingham 27' goal
  • Luke O'Neill 89' goal
National League South Gameweek 42
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sido Jombarti 50' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 55' goal
  • goal Charlie Sheringham 72'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT