National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bowden Park
  • Riley O'Sullivan 4' yellowcard
  • Rory McAuley 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Fletcher 82'

Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Harborough Town 0 - 3 Hereford
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Britt Assombalonga

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 1 - 0 Oxford City
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harborough Town win with a probability of 54.22%. A win for AFC Telford United has a probability of 24.04% and a draw has a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win is 1-2 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.68%).

Result

Harborough Town 54.22% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 21.74% ▼ (-0.14)
AFC Telford United 24.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.37% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.35% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 18.65% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 60.66% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 39.34% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 38.03% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 61.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 23.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 76.51% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Harborough Town 42.59% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 36.1% ▲ (+0.22)
AFC Telford United 21.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Harborough Town 60.55% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
AFC Telford United 34.9% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 62.48% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 26.85% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 51.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 37.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 40.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 59.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 55.4% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 44.6% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 28.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 71.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 12.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 87.68% ▼ (-0.07)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 61.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 69.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 11.28% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Harborough Town 54.21%
Draw 21.73%
AFC Telford United 24.05%
Harborough Town
2-1 @ 10.4% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 12.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 54.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.73%
AFC Telford United
1-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.05%