National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Bowden Park

Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Harborough Town 0 - 3 Hereford
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Britt Assombalonga

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 1 - 0 Oxford City
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harborough Town win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 22.16% and a win for AFC Telford United has a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.98%) , while for a AFC Telford United win it is 1-2 (5.72%).

Result

Harborough Town 55.95% (-0.27)
Draw 22.16% (+0.18)
AFC Telford United 21.88% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (-1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.48% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 18.52% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 60.44% (-1.33)
Under 2.5 39.56% (+1.33)
Over 3.5 37.17% (-1.34)
Under 3.5 62.83% (+1.34)
Over 4.5 23.32% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 76.68% (+0.86)

First Half Winner

Harborough Town 41.78% (+0.72)
Draw 36.65% (+0.11)
AFC Telford United 21.57% (-0.83)

Team To Score First

Harborough Town 58.94% (-1.38)
No Goal 4.67% (+0.31)
AFC Telford United 36.39% (+1.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.62% (-2.08)
Equal 8 10.78% (+0.46)
Under 8 30.6% (+1.62)
Over 9 47.57% (-2.37)
Equal 9 11.05% (+0.31)
Under 9 41.38% (+2.08)
Over 10.5 37.13% (-2.45)
Under 10.5 62.88% (+2.47)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 56.66% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 43.34% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 29.27% (-0.84)
Under 2.5 70.73% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 12.73% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 87.27% (+0.40)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 60.44% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 39.56% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 28.64% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 71.36% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 10.45% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 89.55% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 3.08% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 96.92% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Harborough Town 55.97%
Draw 22.17%
AFC Telford United 21.88%
Harborough Town
2-1 @ 11.15% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 9.07% (+0.40)
2-0 @ 8.31% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 5.1% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.17)
Other @ 12.43% (-0.42)
Total : 55.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.98% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.67% (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.02)
Total : 22.17%
AFC Telford United
1-2 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.8% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.74% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.78% (-0.21)
Total : 21.88%