National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
LIVE Bowden Park
  • Connor Kennedy 9' goal
  • goal Dylan Stephenson 36'
  • goal Patrick McLaughlin 39'

Harborough Town vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford City 1 - 1 Harborough Town

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Darlington 0 - 1 Chester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harborough Town win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Darlington has a probability of 24.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Darlington win is 0-1 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Harborough Town 51.22% (-0.06)
Draw 23.92% (+0.03)
Darlington 24.85% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.76% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.99% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.01% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 53.52% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.48% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.43%
Under 3.5 68.52% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.63% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.37% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Harborough Town 38.15% (+0.01)
Draw 38.47% (+0.02)
Darlington 23.38% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Harborough Town 57.16% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.22%
Darlington 36.62% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 62.4% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.56% (+0.04)
Under 8 27.03% (-0.09)
Over 9 51.25% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.15% (+0.04)
Under 9 37.6% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 40.41% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 59.59% (+0.02)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.51% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 76.76% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.93% (-0.01)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 61.25% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.75% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.32% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.68% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.88% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Harborough Town 51.24%
Draw 23.94%
Darlington 24.86%
Harborough Town
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.27%
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.06% (+0.01)
Total : 51.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.94%
Darlington
0-1 @ 6.49%
1-2 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Total : 24.86%