National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Briar Bateman 86' goal
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 62'

Oxford City vs Harborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Spalding 0 - 1 Oxford City

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Harborough Town 1 - 0 Morecambe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (6.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Oxford City 25.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Harborough Town 49.54% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 54.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.65% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 68.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Oxford City 21.9%
Draw 41.55%
Harborough Town 36.54%

Team To Score First

Oxford City 39.64%
No Goal 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Harborough Town 53.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.33%
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 25.65%
Over 9 51.6%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 36.67%
Over 10.5 40.19%
Under 10.5 59.81%

Oxford City Goals

Over 1.5 28.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 21.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 48.74% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 51.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 23.28% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 76.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 9.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 90.11% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Oxford City 25.54%
Draw 24.92%
Harborough Town 49.53%
Oxford City
2-1 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.92%
Harborough Town
0-1 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54%
Other @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 49.53%