National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • goal George Moncur 3'

AFC Telford United vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Morecambe 2 - 1 Telford
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 3 - 1 Spennymoor
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
George Moncur

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bedford had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Bedford win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 59.85% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 21.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Bedford 18.9% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.23% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 59.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 40.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.47%
Under 4.5 77.53%

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 44.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 37.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Bedford 18.26% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 62.61%
No Goal 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Bedford 32.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 22.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 54.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 33.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 42.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 57.36% ▲ (+0.04)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 58.62% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 41.38% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 31.56% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 68.44% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 14.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 85.89% ▲ (+0.08)

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 55.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 44.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 24.04% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 75.96% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.97% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 59.83%
Draw 21.3%
Bedford 18.91%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 10.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 14.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 59.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.3%
Bedford
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 18.91%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Jordan Piggott 33' goal
  • Alex Fletcher 50' goal
  • goal Jevani Brown 8'
  • goal Lewis Green 65'
National League North
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT