National League North
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT The New Eyrie
  • Reece Evans 33' goal
  • Eno Nto 45'+3' goal
  • George Moncur 65' goal
  • goal Junior Mondal 77'

Bedford vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 4 - 1 Bedford
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
George Moncur

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Spennymoor 1 - 4 Oxford City
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Glen Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bedford win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Bedford 43.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.81%
Spennymoor Town 31.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 24.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 51.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 28.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.62% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bedford 32.73% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 41.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Spennymoor Town 26.23%

Team To Score First

Bedford 53.23% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Spennymoor Town 40.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.91% ▲ (+0.23)
Equal 8 10.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 23.16% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 9 53.96% ▲ (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 34.09% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 42.07% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 57.93% ▼ (-0.22)

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 42.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 81.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.27%
Under 3.5 93.73%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 33.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 66.78% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bedford 43.59%
Draw 24.82%
Spennymoor Town 31.57%
Bedford
1-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.26%
Total : 43.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.82%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
National League North
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT