National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Remi Walker 49' goal
  • Oliver Cawthorne 90'+4' yellowcard

AFC Telford United vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 0 - 1 Telford
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Matty Stenson

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford City 4 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 44.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 24.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Oxford City 30.78% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 55.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.73%
Under 4.5 82.27%

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 34.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 39.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Oxford City 25.91% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 50.78% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.21%
Oxford City 43.01% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.24% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.78% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 9 44.19% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 12.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 43.76% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 33.12% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 66.89% ▼ (-0.16)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 45.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 54.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.59% ▲ (+0.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 66.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 3.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 44.88%
Draw 24.35%
Oxford City 30.78%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.35%
Oxford City
1-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.78%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Court Place Farm
National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Stenson 7' goal
  • Alex Fletcher 52' goal
  • Ricardo Dinanga 89' goal
  • Oliver Marco Cawthorne Bandres 90'+5' goal