National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Tyrone Marsh 32' goal
  • Scott Pollock 44' goal
  • Briar Bateman 49' goal
  • Tyrone Marsh 68' goal
  • yellowcard Harvey Smith 38'

Oxford City vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 1 Oxford City
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 2 - 2 Brackley Town
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Elliot Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Oxford City has a probability of 31.88% and a draw has a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Oxford City win is 1-0 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Oxford City 31.88% ▲ (+0.67)
Draw 26.99% ▼ (-0.77)
Chorley 41.13% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.11% ▲ (+0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.39% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 28.61% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 46.39% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 53.61% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 25.39% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 3.5 74.61% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 4.5 13.5% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 4.5 86.5% ▼ (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Oxford City 26.44% ▲ (+0.45)
Draw 42.95% ▼ (-0.20)
Chorley 30.6% ▼ (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Oxford City 44% ▲ (+0.51)
No Goal 8.55% ▼ (-0.15)
Chorley 47.45% ▼ (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 58.47% ▼ (-1.60)
Equal 8 11.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.28% ▲ (+1.61)
Over 9 46.96% ▼ (-1.41)
Equal 9 11.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 41.53% ▲ (+1.60)
Over 10.5 36.12% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 10.5 63.88% ▲ (+1.15)

Oxford City Goals

Over 1.5 31.4% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 68.6% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 3.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.75% ▼ (-0.25)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 71.65% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 28.35% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 38.31% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 61.69% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 15.27% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 84.73% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 4.81% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 95.19% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Oxford City 31.89%
Draw 26.98%
Chorley 41.13%
Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.32)
Total : 31.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.42)
0-0 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 26.98%
Chorley
0-1 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 41.13%

Head to Head

National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Ewan Clark 56' goal
  • DJ Sturridge 58' goal
National League North
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Andre Burley 4' goal
  • Corie Andrews 29' goal
  • Corie Andrews 39' yellowcard
  • Corie Andrews 74' redcard
  • Andre Burley 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mike Calveley 58'
  • yellowcard George Horbury 75'
  • goal Craig Hewitt 77'
  • yellowcard Craig Hewitt 85'
  • yellowcard Mike Calveley 90'+3'