National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Court Place Farm

Oxford City vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 1 Oxford City
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Scott Pollock

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 2 - 2 Brackley Town
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Elliot Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Oxford City has a probability of 31.88% and a draw has a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Oxford City win is 1-0 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Oxford City 31.88% (+0.67)
Draw 26.99% (-0.77)
Chorley 41.13% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.11% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.39% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 28.61% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 46.39% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 53.61% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 25.39% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 74.61% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 13.5% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 86.5% (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Oxford City 26.44% (+0.45)
Draw 42.95% (-0.20)
Chorley 30.6% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Oxford City 44% (+0.51)
No Goal 8.55% (-0.15)
Chorley 47.45% (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 58.47% (-1.60)
Equal 8 11.25% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.28% (+1.61)
Over 9 46.96% (-1.41)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.17)
Under 9 41.53% (+1.60)
Over 10.5 36.12% (-1.15)
Under 10.5 63.88% (+1.15)

Oxford City Goals

Over 1.5 31.4% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 68.6% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 10.84% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 89.16% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 3.25% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.75% (-0.25)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 71.65% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 28.35% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 38.31% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 61.69% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 15.27% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 84.73% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Oxford City 31.89%
Draw 26.98%
Chorley 41.13%
Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.19% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.44% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.79% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.32)
Total : 31.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.07)
Total : 26.98%
Chorley
0-1 @ 10.87% (-0.22)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 7.2% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.21)
Other @ 4.77% (+0.23)
Total : 41.13%

Head to Head

National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Ewan Clark 56' goal
  • DJ Sturridge 58' goal
National League North
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Andre Burley 4' goal
  • Corie Andrews 29' goal
  • Corie Andrews 39' yellowcard
  • Corie Andrews 74' redcard
  • Andre Burley 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mike Calveley 58'
  • yellowcard George Horbury 75'
  • goal Craig Hewitt 77'
  • yellowcard Craig Hewitt 85'
  • yellowcard Mike Calveley 90'+3'