National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Brackley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Mike Calveley

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Brackley Town 0 - 0 South Shields
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kai Yearn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Brackley Town has a probability of 31.18% and a draw has a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Brackley Town win is 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Chorley 42.25% (-0.04)
Draw 26.57% (-0.06)
Brackley Town 31.18% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.07% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54%
Under 1.5 25.46%
Over 2.5 50.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.73% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 27.82% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.18% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.45% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 84.55% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Chorley 34.47% (-0.01)
Draw 42.85% (-0.01)
Brackley Town 22.68% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Chorley 55.81% (-0.10)
No Goal 7.37% (-0.01)
Brackley Town 36.82% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.03% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.04% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.94% (-0.08)
Over 9 50.39% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.03)
Under 9 37.97% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 39.15% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 60.85% (-0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 41.31% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.69% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.24% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.76% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.36%
Under 3.5 93.64%

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.62% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.38% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67.49% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 12.07% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.93% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 42.26%
Draw 26.56%
Brackley Town 31.19%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.16% (+0.01)
Total : 42.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 26.56%
Brackley Town
0-1 @ 8.03% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.87% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.55% (+0.03)
Total : 31.19%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 15' goal
  • Mike Calveley 45'+2' goal
  • Mike Calveley 78' goal
  • Mark Ellis 90'+1' goal
  • goal Scott Pollock 68'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Zak Lilley 22' yellowcard
  • Tyler Lyttle 82' yellowcard
  • Tommy O'Sullivan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Henley 31'
  • yellowcard Mark Ellis 50'
  • goal Jack Sampson 53'
  • goal Jack Sampson 85'
  • yellowcard Matthew Urwin 89'
National League North
Apr 28, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Riccardo Calder 78' goal
National League North Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Morgan Roberts 7' goal
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 61' goal
  • goal Alfie Bates 41'
  • redcard Morgan Roberts 90'+2'
National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Levi Amantchi 34' goal
  • goal Connor Hall 51'