National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Bowden Park

Harborough Town vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Brackley Town 0 - 0 Harborough Town
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Britt Assombalonga

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 0 Spennymoor
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Harrison Iwunze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harborough Town win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw has a probability of 22.34% and a win for Hereford United has a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Hereford United win it is 1-2 (5.15%).

Result

Harborough Town 57.85%
Draw 22.34%
Hereford United 19.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.1% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 41.9% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 35.15% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 64.85% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 21.94% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.06% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Harborough Town 44.52%
Draw 36.9%
Hereford United 18.58%

Team To Score First

Harborough Town 61.78%
No Goal 5.24% (-0.01)
Hereford United 32.98% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.48%
Equal 8 10.29%
Under 8 27.24%
Over 9 51.64%
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 37.52%
Over 10.5 41.11%
Under 10.5 58.89%

Harborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 56.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.15% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 70.47% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 87.04% (+0.03)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 57.25% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 42.75% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 25.41% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 74.59% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.7% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.3% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.34% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.66% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Harborough Town 57.85%
Draw 22.35%
Hereford United 19.81%
Harborough Town
2-1 @ 10.89%
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.74% (-0.03)
Total : 57.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 22.35%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Total : 19.81%