National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Harry Perritt 89' redcard
  • goal Aaron Skinner 68'

Southport vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 5 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Daniel Ogwuru

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Harrison Iwunze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Southport 43.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Hereford United 31.91% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.33% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Southport 35.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 41.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Hereford United 22.88%

Team To Score First

Southport 52.91% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Hereford United 40.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.87%
Equal 8 11.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 48.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 40.13%
Over 10.5 37.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 62.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 44.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 67.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.76% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 65.24% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 13.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 86.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Southport 43.4%
Draw 24.7%
Hereford United 31.92%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.7%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head

National League North
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Chris Sze 32' goal
  • Jordan Slew 45'+2' goal
  • Malakai McKenzie 50' goal
  • Chris Sze 54' goal
  • Sonny Hilton 62' yellowcard
  • Djavan Pedro 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan Slew 70' goal
  • Arthur Gnahoua 72' yellowcard
  • Matty Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Murphy-Worrell 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Donawa 58'
  • yellowcard Charlie Pavey 70'
  • yellowcard Kyle Howkins 81'
  • yellowcard George Munday 85'
National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 74' goal
  • goal Danny Lloyd 70'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 26' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hudson 23'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 72'
  • goal Alex Babos 77'
  • goal Alex Babos 89'
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 60' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+2' goal
  • goal Paul Downing 43'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 90'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Markus Carver 57'