National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Haig Avenue

Southport vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 5 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Daniel Ogwuru

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Harrison Iwunze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southport win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 31.91% and a draw has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Southport 43.4% (-0.11)
Draw 24.69% (-0.05)
Hereford United 31.91% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.94% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.58% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.42% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.42% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.58% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.96% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.04% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.67% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.33% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Southport 35.71% (+0.11)
Draw 41.42% (-0.09)
Hereford United 22.88%

Team To Score First

Southport 52.91% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.18% (-0.04)
Hereford United 40.91% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.87%
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.89% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.23% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.13%
Over 10.5 37.17% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 62.83% (+0.02)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 44.08% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.92% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.41% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.59% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.19% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.81% (+0.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 67.26% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.74% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.76% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 65.24% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 13.63% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 86.37% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.35% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.65% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Southport 43.4%
Draw 24.7%
Hereford United 31.92%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.18% (-0.02)
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.7%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 3.18% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.34% (+0.05)
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head

National League North
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Chris Sze 32' goal
  • Jordan Slew 45'+2' goal
  • Malakai McKenzie 50' goal
  • Chris Sze 54' goal
  • Sonny Hilton 62' yellowcard
  • Djavan Pedro 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan Slew 70' goal
  • Arthur Gnahoua 72' yellowcard
  • Matty Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Murphy-Worrell 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Donawa 58'
  • yellowcard Charlie Pavey 70'
  • yellowcard Kyle Howkins 81'
  • yellowcard George Munday 85'
National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 74' goal
  • goal Danny Lloyd 70'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 26' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hudson 23'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 72'
  • goal Alex Babos 77'
  • goal Alex Babos 89'
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 60' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+2' goal
  • goal Paul Downing 43'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 90'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Markus Carver 57'