National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Harrison Iwunze

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Spennymoor 1 - 1 Hednesford
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Glen Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Spennymoor Town has a probability of 29.5% and a draw has a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win is 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result

Hereford United 45.89% (-0.18)
Draw 24.61% (+0.02)
Spennymoor Town 29.5% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.88% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.55% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 21.45% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 55.84% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.16% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 32.71% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 67.29% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.84% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.16% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 34.92% (-0.09)
Draw 40.03% (-0.07)
Spennymoor Town 25.04% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 53.62%
No Goal 5.77% (+0.04)
Spennymoor Town 40.61% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.35% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.4% (+0.02)
Under 8 22.25% (+0.08)
Over 9 55.88% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.65% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 44.33% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 55.67% (+0.11)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 46.9% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 53.1% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 21.48% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 78.52% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 7.72% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.28% (+0.05)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 33.46% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.54% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 66.46% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.69% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 87.31% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.1% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Hereford United 45.88%
Draw 24.61%
Spennymoor Town 29.5%
Hereford United
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.62% (-0.06)
Total : 45.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 24.61%
Spennymoor Town
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.78% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.8% (+0.01)
Total : 29.5%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 28
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Freddie Willcox 84' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 2'
  • goal Corey McKeown 35'
National League North
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Olly Dyson 16'
  • goal Glen Taylor 31'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Will Harris 43' yellowcard
  • Callum Ross 90'+4' yellowcard
National League North Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 55' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+1' goal
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Lebrun Mbeka 27'
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Josh Popoola 27' goal
  • Will Harris 88' goal