National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Keys Park

Hednesford Town vs Harborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Telford 1 - 1 Hednesford
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Omari Sterling-James

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Harborough Town 4 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Britt Assombalonga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harborough Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Hednesford Town has a probability of 34.39% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win is 1-0 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).

Result

Hednesford Town 34.39% (-0.09)
Draw 27.2% (+0.06)
Harborough Town 38.41% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.58% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.42% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.58% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.81%
Under 2.5 49.19%
Over 3.5 29.88%
Under 3.5 70.12%
Over 4.5 16.72% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.28% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hednesford Town 28.87% (+0.02)
Draw 40.75% (-0.01)
Harborough Town 30.38%

Team To Score First

Hednesford Town 45.89% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.16%
Harborough Town 46.95% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.54% (-0.14)
Over 9 45.54% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 42.93% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 34.8% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 65.2% (-0.11)

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 1.5 35.78% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 64.22% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 13.65% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.35% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.35% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.65% (+0.02)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.98% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.12% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.88% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.43% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.57% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 6.36% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hednesford Town 34.39%
Draw 27.2%
Harborough Town 38.4%
Hednesford Town
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.28% (-0.02)
Total : 34.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 6.06%
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 27.2%
Harborough Town
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 6.29% (+0.01)
Total : 38.4%

Head to Head

FA Trophy