National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Keys Park
  • George Langston 83' goal
  • D. Abimbola 85' goal
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 54'

Hednesford Town vs Harborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Telford 1 - 1 Hednesford
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Omari Sterling-James

Harborough Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Harborough Town 4 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Britt Assombalonga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 1-0 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Hednesford Town 34.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 27.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Harborough Town 38.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.81%
Under 2.5 49.19%
Over 3.5 29.88%
Under 3.5 70.12%
Over 4.5 16.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.28% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hednesford Town 28.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 40.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Harborough Town 30.38%

Team To Score First

Hednesford Town 45.89% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.16%
Harborough Town 46.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.54% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 9 45.54% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 42.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 34.8% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 65.2% ▼ (-0.11)

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 1.5 35.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 64.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 13.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 6.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hednesford Town 34.39%
Draw 27.2%
Harborough Town 38.4%
Hednesford Town
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 6.06%
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.2%
Harborough Town
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.4%

Head to Head

FA Trophy