National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford City 0 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Elliot Taylor

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Darlington 0 - 0 King's Lynn
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Patrick McLaughlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Darlington win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 37.08% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Chorley win is 2-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Chorley 37.08% (+0.11)
Draw 25.2% (+0.06)
Darlington 37.72% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.31% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.51% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.49% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 54.3% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 45.7% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 31.8% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.2% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 18.17% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.83% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Chorley 28.87%
Draw 38.32%
Darlington 32.81%

Team To Score First

Chorley 48.35% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.11% (+0.04)
Darlington 45.54% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.32%
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 26.74%
Over 9 50.77%
Equal 9 11.55%
Under 9 37.68%
Over 10.5 39.59%
Under 10.5 60.41%

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 38.85% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 61.15% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 15.9% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.1% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.71% (-0.03)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 71.85% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 28.15% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 39.89% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 60.11% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 16.88% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 83.12% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.07% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.93% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Chorley 37.09%
Draw 25.19%
Darlington 37.71%
Chorley
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 8.37% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.67% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.85%
Other @ 5.14% (+0.02)
Total : 37.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95%
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
Darlington
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.92% (-0.07)
Total : 37.71%

Head to Head

National League North
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Harry Ibbitson 33' goal
  • Harvey Smith 62' yellowcard
  • Tom Walker 83' yellowcard
  • Warren Clarke 83' yellowcard
  • Jack Griffiths 88' yellowcard
  • goal Cedric Main 23'
  • goal Will McGowan 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Kallum Griffiths 78'
  • yellowcard Ellis Stanton 83'
  • yellowcard Josh Scott 90'+5'
National League North
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Caden Kelly 13' goal
  • goal Kole Hall 31'
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • George Horbury 8' goal
  • Momodou Touray 27' goal
  • Momodou Touray 61' goal
  • Mike Calveley 64' yellowcard
  • Harvey Smith 75' yellowcard
  • Mark Ellis 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kallum Griffiths 26'
  • yellowcard Elliot Forbes 45'
National League North Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal Mark Ellis 48'
  • goal Jack Sampson 45'+6'
  • goal Mike Calveley 54'
National League North Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
8
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 4' goal
  • Adam Henley 23' goal
  • Ollie Shenton 27' goal
  • Justin Johnson 53' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 66' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 74' goal
  • David Moyo 83' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 90'+3' goal