Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Nacional do Zimpeto
  • Witiness Quembo 29' yellowcard
  • Guima 38' yellowcard
  • Geny Catamo 45'+2' goal
  • Bruno Langa 74' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 33'
  • yellowcard Lamine Camara 62'
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 78'

Mozambique vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Senegal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.01% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Mozambique 18.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 23.01%
Senegal 58.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 48.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 51.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.73% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Mozambique 16.57%
Draw 42.52%
Senegal 40.91%

Team To Score First

Mozambique 31.39%
No Goal 7.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Senegal 60.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 27.92%
Equal 8 10.37%
Under 8 61.71%
Over 9 19.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 8.24%
Under 9 72.08%
Over 10.5 13.58%
Under 10.5 86.42%

Mozambique Goals

Over 1.5 18.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 81.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.08%
Under 3.5 98.92%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 81.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 50.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 49.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 25.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 74.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mozambique 18.29%
Draw 23.01%
Senegal 58.73%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 18.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 23.01%
Senegal
0-1 @ 13.3% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-3 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 58.73%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Boulaye Dia 18'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Youssouf Sabaly 9' goal
  • Sadio Mane 15' goal
  • Iliman Ndiaye 32' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 39' goal
  • Habib Diallo 88' goal
  • goal Gildo Vilanculos 48'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 17, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Foia 36' yellowcard
  • Lau King 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alasan Faye 25'
  • yellowcard Elhadj Mane 60'
  • goal Jean Diouf 78'
  • yellowcard Jean Diouf 88'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 9, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • El Hadji Madicke Kane 15' yellowcard
  • P 63' goal
  • W 82' yellowcard
  • M 86' yellowcard