Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.62% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.