Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.07% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%) , while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-2 (4.53%).