Nations League Gameweek 5
Moldova
Nov 13, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadionul CPTF
Kazakhstan
  • Petru Popescu 39' goal
  • Iurie Iovu 73' yellowcard
  • Petru Popescu 77' goal
  • Petru Popescu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Islam Chesnokov 51'
  • redcard Maksim Samorodov 90'+4'

Moldova vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Moldova 31.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 24.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Kazakhstan 43.61% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.21% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 47.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.29% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Moldova 23.98%
Draw 40.95%
Kazakhstan 35.07%

Team To Score First

Moldova 43.21% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Kazakhstan 49.82% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.01%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 35.02%
Over 9 43.15%
Equal 9 10.86%
Under 9 45.99%
Over 10.5 33.2%
Under 10.5 66.8%

Moldova Goals

Over 1.5 32.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 13.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.61% ▼ (-0.04)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 73.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 43.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 79.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.12%
Under 3.5 91.88%

Score analysis

Moldova 31.56%
Draw 24.82%
Kazakhstan 43.6%
Moldova
1-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 31.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.82%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 7.86%
Total : 43.6%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Kazakhstan
Oct 2, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Karasay
Moldova
  • Nuraly Alip 64' goal
  • Galymzhan Kenzhebek 80' yellowcard
  • Yan Vorogovskiy 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nicky Clescenco 45'+1'
  • goal Petru Popescu 50'
Nations League
Kazakhstan
Mar 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
ET
Moldova
  • Vladislav Vassiljev 44' yellowcard
  • Nuraly Alip 87' yellowcard
  • Timur Dosmagambetov 116' yellowcard
  • goal Igor Armas 13'
  • yellowcard Vadim Rata 27'
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 74'
  • yellowcard Igor Armas 81'
  • yellowcard Dmitri Mandricenco 85'
  • yellowcard Artur Ionita 120'+2'
Nations League
Moldova
Mar 24, 2022 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Kazakhstan
  • Ion Nicolaescu 45'+1' goal
  • Oleg Reabciuk 63' yellowcard
  • goal Serhiy Maliy 64'
  • yellowcard Gafurzhan Suyumbayev 72'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Maliy 75'
  • goal Veaceslav Posmac 79' (OG)
International Friendlies
Kazakhstan
Feb 21, 2019 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Moldova
  • Yuriy Pertsukh 44' yellowcard
  • Dumitru Celeadnic 61' goal

Form Data

Moldova 0 - 4 Slovakia
Kazakhstan 1 - 2 Moldova
Moldova 1 - 1 Faroe Islands
Slovakia 2 - 0 Moldova
Armenia 1 - 1 Moldova
Moldova 2 - 2 Bulgaria
Kazakhstan 2 - 2 Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan 1 - 2 Moldova
Slovakia 2 - 1 Kazakhstan
Faroe Islands 1 - 1 Kazakhstan
Hungary 3 - 1 Kazakhstan
Armenia 1 - 1 Kazakhstan