Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 3.00pm

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Faroe Islands has a probability of 28.71% and a draw has a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win is 0-1 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Kazakhstan 43.66% ▼ (-1.02)
Draw 27.63% ▼ (-1.49)
Faroe Islands 28.71% ▲ (+2.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.26% ▲ (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.06% ▲ (+2.13)
Under 1.5 29.94% ▼ (-2.13)
Over 2.5 45.39% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 2.5 54.61% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 3.5 24.87% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 3.5 75.13% ▼ (-1.94)
Over 4.5 13.84% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 4.5 86.16% ▼ (-1.16)

First Half Winner

Kazakhstan 30.2% ▼ (-1.66)
Draw 48.73% ▲ (+0.67)
Faroe Islands 21.07% ▲ (+0.99)

Team To Score First

Kazakhstan 56.2% ▲ (+2.35)
No Goal 9.26% ▼ (-1.18)
Faroe Islands 34.54% ▼ (-1.17)

Corners

Over 8 63.54% ▲ (+5.82)
Equal 8 11.24% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 8 25.22% ▼ (-5.63)
Over 9 51.51% ▲ (+5.43)
Equal 9 12.02% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 9 36.46% ▼ (-5.82)
Over 10.5 39.8% ▲ (+4.58)
Under 10.5 60.2% ▼ (-4.58)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 1.5 39.62% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 60.38% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 17.05% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 2.5 82.95% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 6.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 93.65% ▲ (+0.08)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5 61.43% ▲ (+2.54)
Under 0.5 38.57% ▼ (-2.54)
Over 1.5 28.02% ▲ (+3.09)
Under 1.5 71.98% ▼ (-3.09)
Over 2.5 9.84% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 2.5 90.16% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 3.5 2.8% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 3.5 97.2% ▼ (-0.57)

Score analysis

Kazakhstan 43.65%
Draw 27.63%
Faroe Islands 28.72%
Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.72)
2-1 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.59)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 43.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.43)
0-0 @ 9.26% ▼ (-1.18)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 27.63%
Faroe Islands
0-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.68)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.67)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.39)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.34)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.67)
Total : 28.72%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Áki Samuelsen 14' goal
  • goal Temirlan Erlanov 26'
  • yellowcard Galymzhan Kenzhebek 49'
  • yellowcard Islambek Kuat  90'+1'
International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT