Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.