Nations League
Mar 31, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
  • Daniels Balodis 46' yellowcard
  • Vladislavs Gutkovskis 61' yellowcard
  • Dario Sits 61' yellowcard
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Scanlon 73'
  • yellowcard Kai Mauro 80'
  • yellowcard Dylan Borge 80'

Latvia vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
Gibraltar 0 - 1 Latvia

Gibraltar

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
Gibraltar 0 - 1 Latvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.07% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%) , while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Latvia 59.83%
Draw 21.07%
Gibraltar 19.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.8%
Under 1.5 23.2%
Over 2.5 54.69% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.31% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.72% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.28% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.45% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.55% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Latvia 38.27%
Draw 38.08%
Gibraltar 23.65%

Team To Score First

Latvia 57.36%
No Goal 6.31%
Gibraltar 36.33%

Corners

Over 8 43.78%
Equal 8 10.85%
Under 8 45.37%
Over 9 33.82%
Equal 9 9.96%
Under 9 56.22%
Over 10.5 25.35%
Under 10.5 74.65%

Latvia Goals

Over 1.5 55.13% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.87% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 30.24% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 69.76% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.41%
Under 3.5 85.59%

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 51.56%
Under 0.5 48.44%
Over 1.5 21.21%
Under 1.5 78.79%
Over 2.5 7.36%
Under 2.5 92.64%
Over 3.5 2.27%
Under 3.5 97.73%

Score analysis

Latvia 59.84%
Draw 21.06%
Gibraltar 19.1%
Latvia
1-0 @ 11.27% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.25%
Total : 59.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.06%
Gibraltar
0-1 @ 5.62%
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.1%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Kai Mauro 71' yellowcard
  • Kai Mauro 72' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Emrani 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Liam Jessop 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borge 77' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Perera 77' yellowcard
  • Joachim Ostheider 84' yellowcard
  • Bilal Douah 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladislavs Gutkovskis 63'
  • yellowcard Dario Sits 74'
  • yellowcard Deniss Melniks 83'
  • yellowcard Kristaps Grabovskis 83'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Liam Walker 7' goal
  • Graeme Torilla 28' yellowcard
  • Kian Ronan 70' yellowcard
  • Reece Styche 80' yellowcard
  • goal Vladislavs Gutkovskis 25'
  • yellowcard Roberts Uldrikis 46'
  • goal Roberts Uldrikis 55'
  • yellowcard Vladimirs Kamess 66'
  • goal Raimonds Krollis 75'
  • yellowcard Kriss Karklins 86'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs 39' yellowcard
  • Vladislavs Gutkovskis 50' goal
  • Vladislavs Gutkovskis 85' goal
  • Andrejs Cigaņiks 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Bosio 6'
  • yellowcard Louie Annesley 38'
  • goal Tjay De Barr 71'
  • yellowcard Joseph Luis Chipolina 90'+6'