Major League Soccer
Nov 7, 2026 9.00pm
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Nashville 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Atlanta 3 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 34.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 40.76% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Atlanta United 34.72% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.43% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.4% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 19.6% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 58.58% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 41.39% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 36.13% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 63.87% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 21.47% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 78.53% ▲ (+0.29)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 37.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 37.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Atlanta United 25.33% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 56.72% ▲ (+0.20)
No Goal 5.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Atlanta United 38.23% ▼ (-0.27)

Corners

Over 8 62.12% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 26.52% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 50.13% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 37.88% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 38.6% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.22)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 44.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.47% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 79.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.2% ▲ (+0.05)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 70.79% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 29.21% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 39.6% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 60.4% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 17.01% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 82.99% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 40.77%
Draw 24.53%
Atlanta United 34.71%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 40.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.53%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 34.71%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Atlanta Stadium
  • Tomás Jacob 48' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 69' goal
  • Fafà Picault 82' goal
  • Fafà Picault 82' yellowcard
  • Elías Báez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Emil Forsberg  6'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Sofo 90'+5'
Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • 62' goal
  • 64' goal
  • 75' goal
  • goal Jorge Ruvalcaba 17'
  • goal Dos Santos 36'
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Cameron Harper 3' goal
  • Cameron Harper 3' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 26' yellowcard
  • Kyle Duncan 26' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 45' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 45' yellowcard
  • Alexander Hack 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Hack 61' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 34'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 34'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 78'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 78'
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 8' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 13'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
  • yellowcard Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Carlos Coronel 70' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 70' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Rob Valentino 71' yellowcard
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 75' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 32'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • redcard Dylan Nealis 66'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 69'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 90'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
  • goal Serge Ngoma 90'+14'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • 12' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 31' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 72' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 87' yellowcard
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • Elias Manoel 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Saba Lobzhanidze 68'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 90'+2'