Major League Soccer
Nashville
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
GEODIS Park
NY Red Bulls

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 12.30am
Nashville 0 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
New England 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw has a probability of 20.61% and a win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%) , while for a New York Red Bulls win it is 0-1 (4.23%).

Result

Nashville SC 64.06% ▼ (-3.10)
Draw 20.61% ▲ (+1.31)
New York Red Bulls 15.37% ▲ (+1.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.12% ▼ (-0.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.23% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 1.5 19.77% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 2.5 58.88% ▼ (-1.76)
Under 2.5 41.12% ▲ (+1.76)
Over 3.5 36.8% ▼ (-2.36)
Under 3.5 63.2% ▲ (+2.36)
Over 4.5 24.21% ▼ (-2.19)
Under 4.5 75.79% ▲ (+2.20)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 50.65% ▼ (-3.92)
Draw 31.47% ▲ (+2.24)
New York Red Bulls 17.88% ▲ (+1.67)

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 66.37% ▼ (-0.97)
No Goal 5.35% ▲ (+0.50)
New York Red Bulls 28.28% ▲ (+0.48)

Corners

Over 8 61.96% ▼ (-2.50)
Equal 8 10.57% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 8 27.48% ▲ (+2.04)
Over 9 50.84% ▼ (-2.79)
Equal 9 11.11% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 9 38.04% ▲ (+2.50)
Over 10.5 40.08% ▼ (-2.85)
Under 10.5 59.92% ▲ (+2.85)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 61.49% ▼ (-2.81)
Under 1.5 38.51% ▲ (+2.81)
Over 2.5 34.89% ▼ (-3.32)
Under 2.5 65.11% ▲ (+3.32)
Over 3.5 16.67% ▼ (-2.59)
Under 3.5 83.33% ▲ (+2.60)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 50.3% ▲ (+2.47)
Under 0.5 49.7% ▼ (-2.47)
Over 1.5 20.59% ▲ (+1.58)
Under 1.5 79.41% ▼ (-1.58)
Over 2.5 6.56% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 2.5 93.44% ▼ (-1.13)
Over 3.5 1.88% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 98.12% ▼ (-0.38)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 64.05%
Draw 20.61%
New York Red Bulls 15.36%
Nashville SC
2-0 @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 16.39% ▼ (-2.75)
Total : 64.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.53)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.50)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 20.61%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.44)
1-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.50)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 15.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Aug 20, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
Nashville
  • Julián Bazán 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 12'
  • yellowcard Matthew Corcoran 58'
  • goal Maxwell Woledzi 90'+2'
MLS Playoffs
Nashville
May 15, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
NY Red Bulls
  • Patrick Yazbek 34' goal
  • Patrick Yazbek 34' goal
  • Duncan Williams 63' goal
  • Duncan Williams 63' goal
  • Ahmed Qasem 79' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Qasem 79' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 86' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 86' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 36'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 36'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 56'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 56'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 73'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 73'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 83'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 83'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Nashville
  • Mohammed Sofo 7' goal
  • Mohammed Sofo 7' goal
  • Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 12' yellowcard
  • Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 12' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 30' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 30' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 57' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 57' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 59'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 59'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 67'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 67'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Nashville
  • Sandro Schwarz 32' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 32' yellowcard
  • Mitja Ilencic 39' redcard
  • Noah Eile 40' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 40' yellowcard
  • Agustin Ojeda 44' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 44' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 75' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 86' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 86' goal
  • Maximiliano Moralez 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 90'+15' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 32'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 32'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 48'
  • goal Christian Ramirez 48'
  • goal Mohamed Farsi 53'
  • goal Mohamed Farsi 53'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 65'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 65'
Major League Soccer
Nashville
Feb 25, 2024 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
NY Red Bulls
  • Sean Davis 26' yellowcard
  • Brian Anunga 73' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 90'+5' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
Nashville
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
NY Red Bulls
  • Fabrice Picault 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 39'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 70'
  • goal John Tolkin 90'+4'

Form Data

Nashville 0 - 0 Philadelphia
Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville
Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville
Nashville 4 - 0 Kansas
Austin 1 - 4 Nashville
Nashville 2 - 0 Toronto
New England 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto
DC United 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 4 - 1 San Diego
NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 St Louis City