Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026 1.30am
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Q2 Stadium
  • Guilherme Biro 37' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 76' goal
  • goal Reed Baker-Whiting 30'
  • goal Elias Saad 67'
  • yellowcard Shak Mohammed 78'
  • yellowcard Brian Schwake 83'
  • goal Shak Mohammed 88'
  • goal Hany Mukhtar 90'+1'

Austin FC vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Austin 3 - 3 San Diego
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Christian Ramirez

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Nashville 2 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%).

Result

Austin FC 37.19%
Draw 28.46%
Nashville SC 34.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.9%
Under 2.5 54.1%
Over 3.5 25.07%
Under 3.5 74.93%
Over 4.5 13.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.82% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 27.56%
Draw 43.23%
Nashville SC 29.2%

Team To Score First

Austin FC 45.62% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Nashville SC 45.57% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.22%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 27.81%
Over 9 49.73%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 38.78%
Over 10.5 38.69%
Under 10.5 61.31%

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 35.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 13.41%
Under 2.5 86.59%
Over 3.5 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 67.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Austin FC 37.19%
Draw 28.47%
Nashville SC 34.33%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.47%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 34.33%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
Oct 2, 2025 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Duncan Williams 51' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brendan Hines-Ike 7'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hines-Ike 7'
  • goal Jon Gallagher 43'
  • goal Jon Gallagher 43'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 65'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 65'
  • goal Osman Bukari 85'
  • goal Osman Bukari 85'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sebastian Driussi 61' goal
  • goal Duncan Williams 56'
Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022 2.29am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Walker Zimmerman 49' goal
  • Duncan Williams 82' goal
  • Duncan Williams 83' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 39'
  • yellowcard Julio Cascante 54'
  • yellowcard Nick Lima 75'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djitte 90'+4'
  • redcard Moussa Djitte 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 9
May 24, 2021 2.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Randall Leal 35' goal
  • yellowcard D 69'