Major League Soccer
Oct 29, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Edvard Tagseth 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukić 40'
  • yellowcard Danley Jean Jacques 90'+2'

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 6.30pm
Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 2 New England
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw has a probability of 21.84% and a win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.68%) , while for a Philadelphia Union win it is 1-2 (5.4%).

Result

Nashville SC 57.92% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 21.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Philadelphia Union 20.2% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 16.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 63.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 36.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 40.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 25.99%
Under 4.5 74.01%

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 45.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 35.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Philadelphia Union 18.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 63.06% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Philadelphia Union 32.96% ▲ (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 63.29% ▼ (-0.61)
Equal 8 10.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 25.73% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 9 51.6% ▼ (-0.65)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 36.71% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 10.5 40.2% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 10.5 59.8% ▲ (+0.61)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 60.18% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 39.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 33.36% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 66.64% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 15.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 84.54% ▲ (+0.09)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 58.54% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 41.46% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 28.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 71.75% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 9.84% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 90.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.92% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 57.92%
Draw 21.85%
Philadelphia Union 20.2%
Nashville SC
2-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.85%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 20.2%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Geiner Martínez 15' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 69' yellowcard
  • Agustín Anello 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hany Mukhtar 62'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 62'
  • yellowcard Andy Nájar 62'
  • yellowcard Jordan Knight 86'
  • yellowcard Matthew Corcoran 86'
US Open Cup
Sep 17, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 6.25pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Subaru Park
  • Jovan Lukic 33' goal
  • Kai Wagner 88' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Olwethu Makhanya 90'+12' redcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 15'
  • goal Ahmed Qasem 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 45'+2'
  • goal Duncan Williams 82'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 87'
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Damion Lowe 2' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 2' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 10' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 10' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 20' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 20' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Jack Elliott 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 89' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 67'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 67'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 76'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 76'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'