Major League Soccer
Oct 17, 2026 7.30pm
Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Idan Toklomati

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw has a probability of 21.69% and a win for Charlotte FC has a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.85%) , while for a Charlotte FC win it is 1-2 (5.38%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 59.19% ▲ (+2.20)
Draw 21.69% ▼ (-1.01)
Charlotte FC 19.15% ▼ (-1.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.59%
Under 1.5 19.41%
Over 2.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 36.6% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 63.4% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 22.82% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 77.18% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 50.59% ▲ (+1.39)
Draw 34.33% ▼ (-2.24)
Charlotte FC 15.07% ▲ (+0.83)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 67.76% ▲ (+0.31)
No Goal 4.79% ▼ (-0.17)
Charlotte FC 27.45% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 70.23% ▲ (+2.96)
Equal 8 9.51% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 8 20.25% ▼ (-2.70)
Over 9 59.52% ▲ (+2.95)
Equal 9 10.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 29.77% ▼ (-2.95)
Over 10.5 48.44% ▲ (+2.66)
Under 10.5 51.56% ▼ (-2.66)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 58.14% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 1.5 41.86% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 2.5 31.36% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 2.5 68.64% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 3.5 14.08% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 85.92% ▼ (-0.27)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 56.7% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 0.5 43.3% ▲ (+1.26)
Over 1.5 25.13% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 1.5 74.87% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 2.5 7.9% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 2.5 92.1% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 3.5 2.15% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 97.85% ▲ (+0.26)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 59.19%
Draw 21.69%
Charlotte FC 19.16%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.45)
1-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.50)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.52)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 13.92% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 59.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.48)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 21.69%
Charlotte FC
1-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.20)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.22)
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Ashley Westwood 30' goal
  • Luca de la Torre 65' yellowcard
  • Liel Abada 65' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Zaha 80' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 90' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 90' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesús Bueno 63'
  • yellowcard Jesús Bueno 64'
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 77'
  • goal Danley Jean Jacques 78'
  • yellowcard Malik Jakupovic 83'
  • yellowcard Stas Kornzeniowski 84'
  • yellowcard Philippe Ndinga 84'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Olwethu Makhanya 33' yellowcard
  • Ben Bender 45' yellowcard
  • Jesus Bueno 45'+2' goal
  • Francis Westfield 74' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 81' yellowcard
  • Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 29'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 33'
  • goal Wilfried Zaha 78'
Leagues Cup
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Jose Andres Martinez 1' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 33' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 75' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyger Smalls 68'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 56'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 56'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 63'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 63'
  • yellowcard Ben Bender 68'
  • yellowcard Ben Bender 68'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 87'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 87'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 90'+9'
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 25'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 25'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 65'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 65'