Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Nov 7, 2026 9.00pm
Subaru Park
Toronto

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 6.00pm
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
Toronto 2 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw has a probability of 20.42% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Toronto win it is 0-1 (5.12%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 63.3%
Draw 20.42%
Toronto 16.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.3%
Under 1.5 21.7%
Over 2.5 56.87%
Under 2.5 43.13%
Over 3.5 35.68%
Under 3.5 64.32%
Over 4.5 23.13%
Under 4.5 76.87%

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 50.45%
Draw 34.76%
Toronto 14.79%

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 68.27%
No Goal 5.74%
Toronto 25.99%

Corners

Over 8 62.16%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 26.93%
Over 9 50.65%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 37.84%
Over 10.5 39.52%
Under 10.5 60.48%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 59%
Under 1.5 41%
Over 2.5 34.57%
Under 2.5 65.43%
Over 3.5 16.51%
Under 3.5 83.49%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 50.4%
Under 0.5 49.6%
Over 1.5 19.57%
Under 1.5 80.43%
Over 2.5 5.52%
Under 2.5 94.48%
Over 3.5 1.38%
Under 3.5 98.62%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 63.3%
Draw 20.42%
Toronto 16.28%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 7.03%
3-0 @ 6.97%
3-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 16.38%
Total : 63.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.45%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.42%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.12%
1-2 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 16.28%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 23, 2026 12.30am
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Malik Henry 54' yellowcard
  • Josh Sargent 56' goal
  • Kobe Franklin 64' goal
  • Lazar Stefanović 65' yellowcard
  • Luka Gavran 90'+6' goal
  • goal Milan Iloski 45'+4'
  • goal Danley Jean Jacques 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya  65'
  • yellowcard Ezekiel Alladoh 79'
  • yellowcard Malik Jakupović 82'
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 82'
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 83'
  • goal Nathan Harriel 89'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Aug 10, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
MLS Playoffs
Toronto
May 29, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Ola Brynhildsen 75' goal
  • Ola Brynhildsen 75' goal
  • goal Nathan Harriel 86'
  • goal Nathan Harriel 86'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 89'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 89'
  • goal Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • goal Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Jack Elliott 74' goal
  • Jack Elliott 74' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 78' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 78' goal
  • goal Tai Baribo 39'
  • goal Tai Baribo 39'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 77'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 77'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 30, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
Toronto
  • Alejandro Bedoya 25' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 87'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 87'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Lorenzo Insigne 23' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 23' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 58' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 58' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 63' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 63' goal
  • Franco Ibarra 76' yellowcard
  • Franco Ibarra 76' yellowcard
  • Tomas Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Tomas Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Victor Vazquez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Victor Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 90'+5'
  • redcard Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
  • redcard Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+9'

Form Data

Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Nashville 0 - 0 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 2 New England
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Toronto 2 - 1 DC United
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto
Toronto 3 - 3 Orlando City
Toronto 2 - 1 Montreal
Nashville 2 - 0 Toronto