Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 31, 2026 6.00pm
TQL Stadium
Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 12.30am
Nashville 0 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.22%) and 3-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.07%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 41.52% ▲ (+0.61)
Draw 23.01% ▲ (+0.32)
Philadelphia Union 35.47% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.26% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.9% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 13.1% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 2.5 69.17% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 30.83% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 3.5 48.38% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 51.62% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 31.64% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 4.5 68.36% ▲ (+0.30)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 35.61% ▼ (-0.58)
Draw 36.86% ▲ (+0.65)
Philadelphia Union 27.54% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 52.06% ▼ (-2.91)
No Goal 3.12% ▲ (+0.19)
Philadelphia Union 44.82% ▲ (+2.72)

Corners

Over 8 66.19% ▲ (+2.37)
Equal 8 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 23.95% ▼ (-2.36)
Over 9 55.47% ▲ (+2.19)
Equal 9 10.72% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 9 33.81% ▼ (-2.37)
Over 10.5 44.72% ▲ (+1.86)
Under 10.5 55.28% ▼ (-1.86)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 51.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 48.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 27.27% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 72.73% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 11.81% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 88.19% ▼ (-0.35)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 72.84% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 0.5 27.16% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 1.5 46.08% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 1.5 53.92% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 2.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 77.23% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 9.21% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 90.79% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 41.51%
Draw 23.01%
Philadelphia Union 35.47%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 41.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.77% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 23.01%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.38)
0-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.28)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.32)
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 10, 2026 12.45am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Quinn Sullivan  43' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 45'+1' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 49' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 61' goal
  • Milan Iloski 89' goal
  • redcard Obinna Nwobodo 16'
  • yellowcard Evander 40'
  • yellowcard Tah Anunga 87'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Cincinnati
Aug 31, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Tai Baribo 6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 30' goal
  • Tai Baribo 30' goal
  • Tai Baribo 52' goal
  • Tai Baribo 52' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' goal
  • goal Evander 58'
  • goal Evander 58'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 75'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 75'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Quinn Sullivan 2' goal
  • Tai Baribo 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 66' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 46' (OG)
  • goal Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 64'
  • yellowcard Yamil Rodrigo Asad 68'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 80'
Leagues Cup
Cincinnati
Aug 14, 2024 12.30am
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'

Form Data

Inter Miami 2 - 2 Cincinnati
DC United 0 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew
Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England
Atlanta 1 - 3 Cincinnati
Nashville 0 - 0 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 2 New England
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Philadelphia 4 - 2 Orlando City