Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
Nu Stadium

Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 10.30pm
NY Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 12.30am
DC United 0 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw has a probability of 20.24% and a win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.44%) , while for a FC Cincinnati win it is 1-2 (5.17%).

Result

Inter Miami 59.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 20.24%
FC Cincinnati 19.92% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 15.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 65.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 34.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 44.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 55.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 29.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 70.24% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 46.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 32.27% ▼ (-0.05)
FC Cincinnati 21.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 64.44% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 3.88%
FC Cincinnati 31.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.93% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.71% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 9 49.19% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 9 10.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 40.07% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 38.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 10.5 61.1% ▼ (-0.23)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 62.36%
Under 1.5 37.64%
Over 2.5 36.12%
Under 2.5 63.88%
Over 3.5 18.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 81.59% ▼ (-0.04)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 57.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 42.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 27.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.65% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.62% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 59.84%
Draw 20.24%
FC Cincinnati 19.92%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 18.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 59.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 3.88%
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.24%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 19.92%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 1
LIVE TQL Stadium
  • Kévin Denkey 41' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 49' goal
  • Ender Echenique 60' yellowcard
  • Evander 64' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 72' yellowcard
  • A. Chirilă 73' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 73' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi  24'
  • goal Lionel Messi  55'
  • yellowcard David Ruíz  65'
  • yellowcard Facundo Mura 65'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 23, 2025 10.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Jul 27, 2025 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 6' goal
  • Luis Suarez 6' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 12' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 12' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 42' redcard
  • Tomas Aviles 42' redcard
  • Luis Suarez 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 65'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 65'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 78'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 78'
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
6
1
HT : 8 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Yuya Kubo 10' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 36' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 36' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 38' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 38' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 55' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 55' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 57' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 57' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 72' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 72' goal
  • Sergio Santos 90' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 90' yellowcard
  • goal Serhiy Krivtsov 21'
  • goal Serhiy Krivtsov 21'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 54'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 54'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 59'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 59'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 61'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 61'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 62'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 62'
  • redcard Sergio Busquets 63'
  • redcard Sergio Busquets 63'