/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
-
Mason Greenwood
2'
-
Ethan Nwaneri
46'
-
Igor Paixão
56'
-
Bilal Nadir
58'
-
Hamed Junior Traoré
90'
-
Yann Gboho
13'
-
Charlie Cresswell
60'
-
Warren Kamanzi
65'
-
Jacen Russell-Rowe
83'
Marseille vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Figot-paixao-6934ad24196f6969218258.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 25.03% and a draw has a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 0-1 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).
Result
Marseille
51.06%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
23.87%
▼
(-0.24)
Toulouse
25.03%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
54.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.33%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
22.67%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
54.44%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
45.56%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
31.96%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 3.5
68.04%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 4.5
19.02%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 4.5
80.98%
▼
(-0.51)
First Half Winner
Marseille
37.37%
▼
(-0.78)
Draw
40.34%
▼
(-0.20)
Toulouse
22.29%
▲
(+0.97)
Team To Score First
Marseille
56.63%
▼
(-1.08)
No Goal
6.05%
▼
(-0.03)
Toulouse
37.32%
▲
(+1.10)
Corners
Over 8
49.87%
▲
(+1.61)
Equal 8
12.12%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 8
38.01%
▼
(-1.57)
Over 9
38.26%
▲
(+1.52)
Equal 9
11.61%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 9
50.13%
▼
(-1.61)
Over 10.5
28.05%
▲
(+1.33)
Under 10.5
71.95%
▼
(-1.32)
Marseille Goals
Over 1.5
49.71%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
50.29%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 2.5
24.26%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
75.74%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
9.92%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
90.08%
▼
(-0.27)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
60.97%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
39.03%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
28.47%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
71.53%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
10.06%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 2.5
89.94%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
3.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
96.96%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Marseille
51.06%
Draw
23.86%
Toulouse
25.03%
Marseille
1-0
@
10.11%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 51.06%
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 51.06%
Draw
1-1
@
11.02%
▼
(-0.42)
0-0 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 23.86%
0-0 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 23.86%
Toulouse
0-1
@
6.46%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 25.03%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
3
-
Frank Magri
27'
-
Cristian Casseres Jr
44'
-
Aron Donnum
49'
-
Shavy Babicka
73'
-
Vincent Sierro
82'
-
Carles Martinez
86'
-
Shavy Babicka
90'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
10'
-
Mason Greenwood
16'
-
Mason Greenwood
17'
-
Charlie Cresswell
52'
(OG)
-
Lilian Brassier
73'