EFL Cup | Quarterfinals

Dec 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Man City Manchester City
2-0
Brentford

Cherki (32'), Savio (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

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20:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Brentford
Wednesday, December 17 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Next Game: Man City vs. West Ham
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Brentford

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Brentford
Wednesday, December 17 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Next Game: Wolves vs. Brentford
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.95% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Brentford
73.39% ( 0.58)	15.95% ( -0.2)	10.66% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.29% (

-0.15)

34.71% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.33% (

-0.17)

56.67% (

0.17)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.86% (

0.09)

8.14% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.44% (

0.22)

28.56% (

-0.22)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

-0.78)

42.59% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.06% (

-0.67)

78.94% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 73.39%

Brentford 10.66%

Draw 15.95%

Manchester City	Draw	Brentford
2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 73.39%	1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.95%	1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.24% Total : 10.66%