Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Joseph Mbong 53' goal
  • Ilyas Chouaref 63' yellowcard
  • Joseph Mbong 72' yellowcard
  • Zach Muscat 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graeme Torrilla 22'
  • goal James Scanlon 61'

Malta vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Gibraltar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.72% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%) , while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Malta 72.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 14.72%
Gibraltar 12.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.93%
Under 1.5 20.07%
Over 2.5 59.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 63.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 27.71% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 72.29% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Malta 62.69%
Draw 28.75%
Gibraltar 8.56%

Team To Score First

Malta 77.36%
No Goal 5.13%
Gibraltar 17.51%

Corners

Over 8 51.58%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 37.5%
Over 9 40.95%
Equal 9 10.63%
Under 9 48.42%
Over 10.5 31.37%
Under 10.5 68.63%

Malta Goals

Over 1.5 65.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 34.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 42.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 37.83%
Under 0.5 62.17%
Over 1.5 13.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 86.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 3.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Malta 72.98%
Draw 14.73%
Gibraltar 12.29%
Malta
2-0 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 23.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 72.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 14.73%
Gibraltar
0-1 @ 3.89%
1-2 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 12.29%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 6, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Enrico Pepe 27' yellowcard
  • Joseph Mbong 58' goal
  • yellowcard Tjay De Barr 36'
  • yellowcard Niels Mark Pieter Hartman 38'
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Kyrian Nwoko 8' goal
  • Steve Borg 57' yellowcard
  • Joe Muscatt 71' yellowcard
  • Luke Montebello 83' yellowcard
  • Triston Caruana 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Badr Hassan 68'
  • yellowcard Jack Sergeant 68'
  • yellowcard Scott Wiseman 71'
  • yellowcard 83'
International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2020 6.00pm