Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 3.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Providence Park
  • Santiago Moreno 10' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 10' goal
  • Claudio Bravo 67' yellowcard
  • Claudio Bravo 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Magomed Suleymanov 73'
  • yellowcard Magomed Suleymanov 73'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davis 74'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davis 74'

Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 4, 2025 3.30am
Earthquakes 4 - 1 Portland
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Antony

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 7.30pm
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Kansas
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result

Portland Timbers 51.42% (+0.30)
Draw 22.11% (-0.06)
Sporting Kansas City 26.47% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.07% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.47% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 36.52% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 41.33% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 58.67% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.21% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 76.78% (-0.07)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 85.54% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 14.45% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 57.59% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 42.41% (-0.24)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 73.73% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 26.27% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 38.62% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 61.38% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 51.42%
Draw 22.11%
Sporting Kansas City 26.47%
Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.12% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.22% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 51.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.11%
Sporting Kansas City
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 7.15pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Magomed Suleymanov 16' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 33' goal
  • Joaquin Fernandez 45'+6' yellowcard
  • goal David Ayala 10'
  • yellowcard Ian Smith 22'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 25'
  • yellowcard Antony 28'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 49'
  • goal Jansen Miller 54' (OG)
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 58'
  • yellowcard Ariel Lassiter 78'
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Providence Park
  • Felipe Mora 53' goal
  • Felipe Mora 53' goal
  • Evander 83' goal
  • Evander 83' goal
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 41'
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 41'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 64'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 64'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 6.45pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • William Agade 13' goal
  • Dany Rosero 25' yellowcard
  • Dany Rosero 38' goal
  • William Agade 45'+3' goal
  • Memo Rodriguez 48' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 34'
  • goal Evander 64'
  • goal Felipe Mora 66'
  • goal Eric Miller 81'
  • yellowcard Eric Miller 82'
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Erik Thommy 33' goal
  • Daniel Salloi 66' goal
  • Larrys Mabiala 68' goal
  • Felipe Hernandez 90'+3' goal
  • goal Franck Boli 8'
Major League Soccer
Feb 28, 2023 3.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Providence Park
  • Juan David Mosquera Lopez 6' goal
  • Juan David Mosquera 6' goal
Major League Soccer
Aug 22, 2022 12.55am
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • William Agade 31' goal
  • Andreu Fontas 40' goal
  • Erik Thommy 42' goal
  • William Agade 75' goal
  • Ben Sweat 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zac McGraw 57'
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 86'
  • goal Sebastian Blanco 90'+1'