Major League Soccer

Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Atlanta

Sullivan (27'), Jean Jacques (50'), Baribo (84')
Glesnes (19'), Lukic (45+3'), Jean Jacques (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amador (68'), Latte Lath (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 New England
Saturday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Atlanta United
47.19% ( -0.43)	23.69% ( 0.13)	29.11% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 59.6% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95% (

-0.41)

42.05% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

-0.41)

64.45% (

0.41)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97% (

-0.33)

18.02% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.08% (

-0.56)

48.91% (

0.55)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0)

27.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0)

62.72% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 47.19%

Atlanta United 29.11%

Draw 23.68%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.11%