Major League Soccer

Apr 6, 2025 at 8pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Parks (89')
Risa (36')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Oluwaseyi (1'), Trapp (29')
Boxall (43'), St Clair (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 4-3 NY City
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Minnesota United
52.35% ( 0.27)	22.77% ( -0.15)	24.87% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 59% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84% (

0.59)

41.16% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.44% (

0.59)

63.55% (

-0.6)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

0.3)

15.79% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

0.56)

44.93% (

-0.56)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07% (

0.23)

29.93% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96% (

0.27)

66.04% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 52.35%

Minnesota United 24.87%

Draw 22.77%

New York City FC	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.35%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.87%