Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
May 4, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Fabrice Picault 9' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 9' goal
  • Yannick Bright 14' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bright 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Weigandt 30' goal
  • Marcelo Weigandt 30' goal
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 52'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 52'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 75'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 75'

Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 10.00pm
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Dallas
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 9.30pm
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.4%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Inter Miami 56.4% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 21.56% ▲ (+0.25)
New York Red Bulls 22.03% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.65% ▼ (-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.32% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 38.67% ▲ (+1.03)
Over 3.5 39.02% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 3.5 60.97% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 4.5 21.36% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 4.5 78.64% ▲ (+0.88)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 86.38% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 0.5 13.61% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 1.5 59.24% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 40.75% ▲ (+0.89)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 30.94% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 32.75% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 67.24% ▲ (+0.59)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 56.4%
Draw 21.56%
New York Red Bulls 22.03%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.56%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 22.03%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
May 5, 2024 12.30am
6
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Mar 23, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Inter Miami
  • Lewis Morgan 3' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 51' goal
  • Wikelman Carmona 66' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 70' goal
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 11'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 25'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 84'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Inter Miami
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • goal Tom Barlow 52'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Aug 28, 2022 12.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Inter Miami
  • Kyle Duncan 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Long 42' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 43' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 53' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 70' redcard
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
  • John Tolkin 80' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 19'
  • redcard Alejandro Pozuelo 29'
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 34'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
May 22, 2022 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
NY Red Bulls
  • Gregore 23' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 29' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 54' yellowcard
  • Robert Taylor 88' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Long 60'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 81'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nealis 90'+2'

Form Data

Inter Miami 1 - 3 Vancouver
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Dallas
Vancouver 2 - 0 Inter Miami
Columbus Crew 0 - 1 Inter Miami
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Los Angeles
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Montreal
NY Red Bulls 1 - 2 DC United
Orlando City 0 - 0 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
New England 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 2 - 1 Toronto