Club Friendlies 3
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Phillip Tietz
14'
-
Ransford Königsdörffer
30'
-
William Bøving
90'+9'
Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result
Mainz 05
46.65%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
25.54%
▲
(+0.11)
Holstein Kiel
27.81%
▼
(-0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
57.35%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.21%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
22.79%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 2.5
54.42%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
45.58%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
33%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
67%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
19.32%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
80.68%
▲
(+0.17)
First Half Winner
Mainz 05
35.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
43.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Holstein Kiel
21.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Team To Score First
Mainz 05
56.56%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
6.72%
▲
(+0.09)
Holstein Kiel
36.72%
▼
(-0.11)
Corners
Over 8
62.46%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 8
11.18%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 8
26.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 9
50.62%
▲
(+0.16)
Equal 9
11.84%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 9
37.54%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 10.5
39.17%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 10.5
60.83%
▼
(-0.24)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 1.5
46.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
53.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
21.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
78.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
8.25%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
91.75%
▲
(+0.05)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5
64.44%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
35.56%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
32.12%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
67.88%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
12.16%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
87.84%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
3.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
96.09%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
46.65%
Draw
25.54%
Holstein Kiel
27.82%
Mainz 05
1-0
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 46.65%
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 46.65%
Draw
1-1
@
11.44%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.54%
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.54%
Holstein Kiel
1-2
@
6.62%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 27.82%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
28
-
Phillipp Mwene
33'
-
Nelson Weiper
75'
-
Bo Henriksen
81'
-
Moritz Jenz
84'
-
Nadiem Amiri
90'+1'
-
Alexander Bernhardsson
34'
-
David Zec
44'
-
Nicolai Remberg
51'
-
Timo Becker
85'
-
Lasse Rosenboom
90'+1'
-
Lasse Rosenboom
90'+2'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
11
-
Patrick Erras
56'
-
Nadiem Amiri
11'
-
Jonathan Burkardt
37'
-
Lee Jae-sung
53'
DFB-Pokal
-
Suat Serdar
10'
-
Viktor Fischer
22'
-
Fabian Frei
49'
-
Viktor Fischer
67'
-
Daniel Brosinski
101'
-
Robin Zentner
115'
-
Dominick Drexler
6'
-
Kingsley Schindler
54'
-
Dominick Drexler
74'
-
Amara Conde
90'