Ligue 2 Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes vs Red Star - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.30pm
Red Star 2 - 3 Rodez AF

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nantes win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Red Star has a probability of 32.94% and a draw has a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Red Star win is 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result

Nantes 41.13% (-0.04)
Draw 25.96%
Red Star 32.94% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.74% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.96% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.04% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.23% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.77% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.76% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.24% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nantes 30.26%
Draw 45.12%
Red Star 24.62%

Team To Score First

Nantes 50.24% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.8% (+0.02)
Red Star 42.96% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.89% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 32.92% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.65% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 44.11% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.24%
Under 10.5 65.76%

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 41.78% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.22% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 18.35% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.65% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.59% (+0.03)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5 68.24% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 31.76% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.31% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 64.69% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.91% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.09% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.56% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nantes 41.14%
Draw 25.97%
Red Star 32.94%
Nantes
1-0 @ 9.1% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 6.3% (-0.03)
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.8% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
Red Star
0-1 @ 7.94% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.01)
Total : 32.94%