Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.02% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 29.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.56%) , while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.