Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (11.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.